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\Tuesday, February 27, 2024
ð Daily Questionsâ
ð Last night, after work, Iâ
ð One thing I'm excited about right now isâ
ð One+ thing I plan to accomplish today isâ
- [ ]
ð One thing I'm struggling with today isâ
ð Ephemeral Notesâ
- #investment Deep Tech
- Ventures that takes several low probability events to work in parallel or in sequence
- If successful these ventures will have a high moat, leverage and multiple
- These fell out of favor when money was fast and people flocked towards quick wins
- Examples of these
- SpaceX
- OpenAI
- #investment Nvidia stock boom
- Is the evaluation of Nvidia accurate?
- Continued growth into a 10 trillion dollar company?
- Currently is near a 2 trillion dollar company sitting at the 4th
- Is this a repeat of Cisco before the internet boom? Where after the bubble bursted Cisco never recovered
- Are companies spending too much building out infrastructure right now and the application that drive value won't actually need the or sustain the infrastructure spend
- Will the eventual economy be worth the 50x of economy enabler like the ratio we see between Microsoft (enabler) and economy, or Intel (enabler) and economy
- What will be the application layer and how much value can they deliver on top of the infrastructure layer?
- "Your margin is my opportunity" - Jeff Bezos
- Which company will come in to take slices of the pie?
- Will the requirements for inference chips be much cheaper and less power intensive?
- Will companies all need their own training racks?
- Are companies currently just buying for the sake of making capital investments?
- It does seem like we are at the beginning of a big Ai wave and we should anticipate application companies to emerge just like Social Media/Google before the network wave, Youtube/Netflix before the data wave
- Is the evaluation of Nvidia accurate?
Notes created todayâ
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Notes last touched todayâ
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created: 2023-01-16 11:50